Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000627 0.000712 0.000801 0.000903 0.001014 0.001133 0.001269
2026-01-04 0.000501 0.000620 0.000753 0.000914 0.001101 0.001312 0.001566
2026-01-11 0.000424 0.000556 0.000712 0.000907 0.001143 0.001418 0.001760
2026-01-18 0.000365 0.000504 0.000675 0.000898 0.001176 0.001510 0.001935
2026-01-25 0.000326 0.000472 0.000657 0.000906 0.001226 0.001619 0.002131
2026-02-01 0.000291 0.000440 0.000637 0.000907 0.001264 0.001711 0.002307
2026-02-08 0.000251 0.000398 0.000598 0.000880 0.001262 0.001751 0.002414
2026-02-15 0.000220 0.000364 0.000565 0.000858 0.001264 0.001794 0.002525
2026-02-22 0.000198 0.000341 0.000546 0.000853 0.001287 0.001863 0.002670
2026-03-01 0.000179 0.000321 0.000531 0.000852 0.001313 0.001936 0.002821
2026-03-08 0.000161 0.000299 0.000511 0.000840 0.001324 0.001988 0.002944
2026-03-15 0.000143 0.000278 0.000489 0.000826 0.001329 0.002031 0.003055
2026-03-22 0.000136 0.000273 0.000492 0.000848 0.001388 0.002151 0.003276
2026-03-29 0.000127 0.000264 0.000488 0.000860 0.001433 0.002252 0.003475
2026-04-05 0.000115 0.000248 0.000473 0.000853 0.001449 0.002312 0.003614
2026-04-12 0.000104 0.000233 0.000457 0.000844 0.001461 0.002366 0.003747
2026-04-19 0.000097 0.000225 0.000453 0.000852 0.001498 0.002457 0.003934
2026-04-26 0.000089 0.000215 0.000444 0.000853 0.001524 0.002532 0.004100
2026-05-03 0.000078 0.000198 0.000420 0.000827 0.001506 0.002540 0.004166
2026-05-10 0.000069 0.000183 0.000400 0.000807 0.001496 0.002558 0.004248
2026-05-17 0.000063 0.000173 0.000390 0.000802 0.001510 0.002615 0.004387
2026-05-24 0.000058 0.000165 0.000382 0.000800 0.001530 0.002679 0.004538
2026-05-31 0.000053 0.000156 0.000369 0.000789 0.001533 0.002718 0.004652